Like conspiracy theories? Mathematics ends with them – EN Journal

                     

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If you believe in the theories of conspiracy, we have bad news. A study by the University of Oxford, published in the journal Plos One, ensure that it would be impossible to keep a secret for years. One of the most famous theories maintains that the return of man to the moon was mounting. However, after all, are false conspiracy theories

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If you love the conspiracy theories, it is certain you will be disappointed with the findings of a study led by David Grimes of the University of Oxford in England.

This researcher has created an equation that allowed to realize whether it was possible that a false story lasted in time to be true.

For example, the famous image of the man going to the moon, which falls proponents of a theory (conspiracy) that this picture is false.

to see if it would be possible to create this theory – without being unmasked, for so long – the physicist David Grimes and his team have created an equation that is based on three factors: the number of conspirators involved in a story, the time that has passed since the event and the possibility of this conspiracy to fail.

According to the study Grimes, any conspiracy theory would be discovered after a little over three, four years.

The team Researchers at Oxford University have created a formula to be applied to all conspiracy theories. And the deny

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According to this equation, consider the number of conspirators. The more, the less likely it would be able to deceive the world -. The ability to reveal the truth, even if unintentionally, would be too high

For example, if it were true that Neil Armstrong not Moon ground the stepped on 1969, in mid-1972 in 1973, the lie would be discovered. A conspiracy theory can not last for more than 3.8 years.

The estimate, this whimsical story, takes into account the fact that, at NASA, working more than 400 thousand people. Therefore, the probability of a lie last almost five decades would be negligible. To make it possible deceive mankind, only 251 people at NASA could know a scam.

It is therefore guaranteed. The man was even on the moon in 1969.

But there is more fraud analyzed by Grimes and his team. The alleged fraud of global warming would be unmasked between 3.7 to 26.8 years.

Since the conspiracy on vaccines would be discovered between 3.2 to 34.8 years. Also the scam on the ‘fact’ of scientists are to hide cancer cure would be unmasked in 3.2 years

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“If you doubt the arrival to the moon is irrelevant, believing in counter-information about vaccines can be fatal,” says the physicist from Oxford.

Monty McGovern, a mathematician at the University Washington, reviewed the study and argued that the methods “surprised to be strong and likely to be correct are very plausible.”

David Grimes is aware that it will be difficult to convince fans of conspiracy theories believe in this study. Any supporter of these theories is suspicious by nature … Still, believes this study will be relevant to anyone who has doubts about the attitude of scientists towards rumors.

“Although I consider that it will be difficult to change the opinion of most convinced I hope this article is helpful for those who have doubts about whether to perpetuate scientists or not a rumor, “he said.